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mercredi 16 avril 2008

Repères 16/04/08 - Le Tibet et la géopolitique de la Chine

Repères 16/04/08 - Le Tibet et la géopolitique de la Chine

Chinese Geopolitics and the Significance of Tibet
By George Friedman, Stratfor 15/04/08

"China is an island. We do not mean it is surrounded by water; we mean China is surrounded by territory that is difficult to traverse. Therefore, China is hard to invade; given its size and population, it is even harder to occupy. This also makes it hard for the Chinese to invade others; not utterly impossible, but quite difficult. Containing a fifth of the world’s population, China can wall itself off from the world, as it did prior to the United Kingdom’s forced entry in the 19th century and under Mao Zedong. All of this means China is a great power, but one that has to behave very differently than other great powers..."

 

mercredi 26 mars 2008

La phrase du jour 26/03/08 - Alain Juppé

La phrase du jour 26/03/08 - Alain Juppé

"Les responsables occidentaux demandent à Pékin de tuer avec retenue"

 

Qu'aurais-je fait?
BLOG-NOTES ALAIN JUPPE Lundi 24 Mars 2008

"Le premier mouvement, devant la répression sanglante des manifestations au Tibet par les autorités chinoises, c'est tout naturellement la révolte et la condamnation. Peut-on imaginer cas plus flagrant de violation des libertés fondamentales d'un peuple opprimé depuis des décennies?

Et qu'entendons-nous dans la bouche des responsables occidentaux, politiques ou diplomates, de Washington ou New-York à Bruxelles en passant par à peu près toutes les capitales européennes? Un appel à "la retenue". En somme, nous demandons au pouvoir de Pékin de "tuer avec retenue"!..."

 

mardi 25 mars 2008

Repères 25/03/08 - Tibet, l'ombre de la CIA

Repères 25/03/08 - Tibet, l'ombre de la CIA

Tibet, the 'great game' and the CIA
By Richard M Bennett, Asia Times 26/03/08

"Given the historical context of the unrest in Tibet, there is reason to believe Beijing was caught on the hop with the recent demonstrations for the simple reason that their planning took place outside of Tibet and that the direction of the protesters is similarly in the hands of anti-Chinese organizers safely out of reach in Nepal and northern India.

Similarly, the funding and overall control of the unrest has also been linked to Tibetan spiritual leader the Dalai Lama, and by inference to the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) because of his close cooperation with US intelligence for over 50 years.

Indeed, with the CIA's deep involvement with the Free Tibet Movement and its funding of the suspiciously well-informed Radio Free Asia, it would seem somewhat unlikely that any revolt could have been planned or occurred without the prior knowledge, and even perhaps the agreement, of the National Clandestine Service (formerly known as the Directorate of Operations) at CIA headquarters in Langley.

Respected columnist and former senior Indian Intelligence officer, B Raman, commented on March 21 that "on the basis of available evidence, it was possible to assess with a reasonable measure of conviction" that the initial uprising in Lhasa on March 14 "had been pre-planned and well orchestrated"... 

...So is the CIA once again playing the "great game" in Tibet?

It certainly has the capability, with a significant intelligence and paramilitary presence in the region. Major bases exist in Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan and several Central Asian states.

It cannot be doubted that it has an interest in undermining China, as well as the more obvious target of Iran.

So the probable answer is yes, and indeed it would be rather surprising if the CIA was not taking more than just a passing interest in Tibet. That is after all what it is paid to do...

...For Washington and the CIA, this may seem a heaven-sent opportunity to create a significant lever against Beijing, with little risk to American interests; simply a win-win situation..."