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dimanche 30 mars 2008

Repères 30/03/08 - Renforcer la guerre contre les Talibans (Sarkozy) ou discuter avec eux (Brown ?)

Repères 30/03/08 - Renforcer la guerre contre les Talibans (Sarkozy) ou discuter avec eux (Brown ?)

Divergences stratégiques majeures ? Au moment même ou Nicolas Sarkozy célèbre la "fraternité" franco-anglaise et annonce, devant le Parlement britannique, le renforcement des contingents français en Afghanistan, "pour vaincre les Talibans", le ministre britannique de la défense laisse entendre qu'il faut aujourd'hui "discuter" avec les Talibans ("Britain must be willing to talk to the Taliban"). Coincidence ? Il y a quelques jours, Jonathan Powell, ancien chef de cabinet (de 1995 à 2007) de Tony Blair déclarait : "si j’étais au gouvernement aujourd’hui, je voudrais avoir dialogué avec le Hamas, je voudrais communiquer avec les Talibans, et je voudrais trouver un canal de communication avec Al Qaeda".

 

We must talk to the Taliban, says Des Browne
The Telegraph 30/03/2008

"Britain must be willing to talk to the Taliban and other extremist groups in order to try to stabilise the world, the Defence Secretary says today.

In an interview with The Daily Telegraph, Des Browne says that Britain and other democratic states should negotiate with organisations linked to violence - including elements of the Taliban and Hizbollah - in an attempt to prevent the long-term spread of terrorism.

"What you need to do in conflict resolution is to bring the people who believe that the answer to their political ambitions will be achieved through violence into a frame of mind that they accept that their political ambitions will be delivered by politics," he says..."


Des Browne urges talks with extremist groups
The Telegraph 30/03/2008

"The West must seek diplomatic as well as military solutions in Iraq and Afghanistan, the Defence Secretary tells Rachel Sylvester...

...In his view, the West must be seeking diplomatic as well as military solutions. Controversially, he argues that Britain should be willing to talk to extremists groups.

"What you need to do in conflict resolution is to bring the people who believe that the answer to their political ambitions will be achieved through violence into a frame of mind that they accept that their political ambitions will be delivered by politics."

A former Northern Ireland minister, Mr Browne says there will always be some people who are "irreconcilable" to a peaceful path - he draws the line at al-Qa'eda because "their demand is an end to our way of life".

But, he argues that the West should be willing to talk to people with a history of violence - including elements of the Taliban and Hizbollah.

"In Northern Ireland I talked to people with a past. There are different varieties of these organisations. There's no question that some of them if we succeed will transfer into the political dimension."..."

 

Voir :

La phrase du jour 17/03/08 - Jonathan Powell

 

mercredi 26 mars 2008

Repères 26/03/08 - Sur le financement du terrorisme

Repères 26/03/08 - Sur le financement du terrorisme

FATF Terrorist Financing Report, March 14, 2008

"The Financial Action Task Force (FATF) is an inter-governmental body whose purpose is the development and promotion of national and international policies to combat money laundering and terrorist financing.

This study examines the means used by terrorists to raise funds and the wide variety of methods used to move money within and between organisations. The adaptability and opportunism shown by terrorist organisations suggests that all the methods that exist to move money around the globe are to some extent at risk..."

 

lundi 3 mars 2008

Repères 03/03/08 - La vérité (?) sur cinq ans d'alertes terroristes aux Etats-Unis

Repères 03/03/08 - La vérité (?) sur cinq ans d'alertes terroristes aux Etats-Unis

Truth or Terrorism? The Real Story Behind Five Years of High Alerts
TIM DICKINSON, RollinStone Feb 07, 2008

"A history of the Bush administration's most dubious terror scares — and the headlines they buried

The Bush administration has never shied from playing the fear card to distract the American public from scandal or goad them into supporting a deeply flawed foreign policy. Here a history of the administration's most-dubious terror alerts — including three consecutive Memorial Day scare-a-thons — all of which proved far less terrifying than the screamer headlines they inspired..."

 

FBI Response to Rolling Stone Magazine Article on Joint Terrorism Task Forces

 

mardi 12 février 2008

Repères 12/02/08 - Les erreurs de la guerre contre la terreur

Repères 12/02/08 - Les erreurs de la guerre contre la terreur

United States Lacks the Capability to Counter Insurgency in the Muslim World
RAND February 11, 2008

"Recognizing that the conflicts in Iraq and Afghanistan will not be the last of their kind, a new RAND Corporation study issued today finds that U.S. capabilities to meet the threat of Islamist insurgencies are seriously deficient and out of balance.

The report finds that large-scale U.S. military intervention and occupation in the Muslim world is at best inadequate, at worst counter-productive, and, on the whole, infeasible. The United States should shift its priorities and funding to improve civil governance, build local security forces, and exploit information — capabilities that have been lacking in Iraq and Afghanistan.

“Violent extremism in the Muslim world is the gravest national security threat the United States faces,” said David C. Gompert, the report's lead author and a senior fellow at RAND, a nonprofit research organization. “Because this threat is likely to persist and could grow, it is important to understand the United States is currently not capable of adequately addressing the challenge.”

The findings are from a major review of strategies to combat insurgencies RAND initiated at the request of the Department of Defense.

The study finds that when infected by religious extremism, local insurgencies become more violent, resistant to settlement, difficult to defeat and likely to spread. The jihadist appeal to local insurgents is the message that their faith and homelands are under attack by the West and they should join the larger cause of defending Islam. This makes U.S. military intervention not only costly, but risky.

While the recent military surge has improved security in much of Iraq, “it would be a profound mistake to conclude from it that all the United States needs is more military force to defeat Islamist insurgencies,” Gompert said. “One need only contemplate the precarious condition of Pakistan to realize the limitations of U.S. military power and the peril of relying upon it.”..."

 

Voir :

War by Other Means -- Building Complete and Balanced Capabilities for Counterinsurgency
RAND Counterinsurgency Study -- Final Report

 

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