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mardi 22 avril 2008

Repères 22/04/08 - La crise climatique menace la sécurité internationale

Repères 22/04/08 - La crise climatique menace la sécurité internationale

INTERVIEW-Climate change can stoke Africa conflicts-scientist
Reuters April 22

"ACCRA, April 22 (Reuters) - Climate change in Africa could leave 250 million more people short of water by 2020, spurring conflicts and threatening stability on the world's poorest continent, the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize winner said on Tuesday.

Rajendra K. Pachauri, chairman of the United Nations panel of climate experts who shared the prize with former U.S. Vice-President Al Gore last year, said the responsibility lay with wealthy developed nations to curb their carbon emissions.

"If the situation in Africa is a scar on the conscience of the world, then if the world has a conscience it has to remove that scar," Pachauri told Reuters in an interview.

"Reasons of equity and ethics clearly require that developed countries must do more and there is also an issue of enlightened self interest because you cannot have a large continent like Africa being neglected," he added, speaking on the sidelines of a U.N. trade and development conference in Ghana.

The Indian scientist warned that Africa's 1 billion people were among the most at risk from climate change because of the existing environmental pressures on the continent caused by lack of food and water, desertification and flash flooding.

"Unfortunately, the impact of climate is going to be most likely so harmful that it would threaten governments," he said.

"With water scarcity, the threat of conflict and the threat of competition for scarce resources will grow substantially and all of these are incompatible with good governance."..."

 

Food crisis threatens security, says UN chief
The Guardian, Monday April 21 2008

"The UN secretary general issued a gloomy warning yesterday that the deepening global food crisis, in which rapidly rising prices have triggered riots and threatened hunger in dozens of countries, could have grave implications for international security, economic growth and social progress.

Ban Ki-moon told a trade and development conference in Accra, Ghana, that the surge in prices of basic foodstuffs like cereals since last year could cancel out progress made towards meeting the UN's Millennium Development Goal of halving world poverty by 2015.

"If not handled properly, this crisis could result in a cascade of others ... and become a multidimensional problem affecting economic growth, social progress and even political security around the world," Ban told the conference..."

 

samedi 26 janvier 2008

Repères 26/01/08 - Un milliard de réfugiés

Repères 26/01/08 - Un milliard de réfugiés

Armed forces face strain of climate change: report
Reuters Thu Jan 24, 2008

"Security forces round the world will face tough new challenges as climate change unleashes violent storms, raises sea levels and causes floods and famines, a new report said on Thursday.

Up to 200 million people could become environmental refugees by the middle of the century, bringing to one billion the number of people displaced by conflicts, natural disasters and large development projects, the Oxford Research Group report said..."


An Uncertain Future: Law Enforcement, National Security and Climate Change
Chris Abbott, Oxford Research Group January 2008

 

Repères 26/01/08 - Changement climatique et risques de conflits

Repères 26/01/08 - Changement climatique et risques de conflits

A Climate of Conflict : The Links Between Climate Change, Peace and War
International Alert 11/2007

"Climate change is upon us and its physical effects have started to unfold. That is the broad scientific consensus expressed in the Fourth Assessment Review of the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change. This report takes this finding as its starting point and looks at the social and human consequences that are likely to ensue – particularly the risks of conflict and instability..."

 

lundi 10 décembre 2007

Repères 10/12/07 - Le changement climatique et les conflits

Repères 10/12/07 - Le changement climatique et les conflits - Un nouveau rapport révèle les risques et les points chauds probables

Bali, 10 Décembre 2007 - La lutte contre le changement climatique sera un thème principal de la politique de la paix au 21e siècle.

Un nouveau rapport conclut que si le problème du changement climatique n'est pas contrôlé, il est susceptible d'aggraver d'anciennes tensions et d'en déclencher de nouvelles dans certaines parties du monde qui pourraient sombrer dans la violence, le conflit et la guerre.

Les zones à risque d'insécurité accrues sont notamment le nord et le sud de l'Afrique, ainsi que la région Sahélienne et la Méditerranée.

Les autres points chauds potentiels sont l'Asie Centrale, l'Inde, le Pakistan le Bangladesh, la Chine, certaines parties des Caraïbes et du golfe du Mexique ainsi que les régions andines et amazoniennes de l'Amérique latine.

Le rapport, publié par des chercheurs allemands et suisses, encourage les gouvernements participant à la Conférence des Nations Unies sur la Convention du Changement Climatique à Bali à adopter des réductions de CO2 profondes et décisives ainsi que soutenir l'adaptation ou « la protection contre le climat ». Autrement le changement climatique, y compris des événements météorologiques extrêmes tels que les impacts de la fonte des glaces, l'assèchement de grands systèmes forestiers et la hausse du nombre de réfugiés climatiques, risque de dépasser la capacité de gouvernance de nombreux pays.

Le rapport : World in Transition – Climate Change as a Security Risk