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mardi 6 mai 2008

Repères 06/05/08 - La grande peur des Etats-Unis

Repères 06/05/08 - La grande peur des Etats-Unis

Le Sénateur Joseph R. Biden Jr vient de rendre publique une étude du Congressional Research Service (CRS) sur les implications, pour les intérêts économiques et sécuritaires des Etats-Unis, de la croissance de l'influence globale de la Chine dans le monde. La question posée révèle l'inquiétude des Etats-Unis face au déclin de sa propre influence.

The question : How much is China really doing in these regions, and
how much do we knowabout its motivations? What do these widespread PRC activities mean for the United States and for U.S. global influence: are the implications necessarily bad and therefore a demonstrable threat to U.S. interests across the board, or might the implications be benign or in some instances even positive for U.S. interests? How has this increasing engagement affected China’s own policies? Finally, what are the economic and political costs and benefits to China of such international engagement, and are they likely to be influences for greater pragmatism and nuance in PRC policies or serve instead to reinforce more hardline and nationalistic sentiments?

 

CRS Study: China's Foreign Policy and "Soft Power" in South America, Asia, and Africa, April 2008 (139 pages, PDF). Report Prepared by the Congressional Research Service at the Request of Senate Foreign Relations Chairman Joseph Biden

"...As requested, this study focuses on China’s ‘‘soft power’’ projection in the specified regions. The term ‘‘soft power’’ originally was conceived in 1990 by Harvard Professor Joseph S. Nye, Jr.. Nye argued that the United States had reserves of power and influence that were separate from ‘‘hard power,’’ or military force projection. He expanded greatly on this concept in his book, Soft Power: The Means to Success in World Politics—partly, he said, from the frustration of watching ‘‘some policy makers ignore the importance of our soft power and make us all pay the price by unnecessarily squandering it.’’ According to Nye, soft power is crucially important in today’s world politics and is significantly more than just the trappings of American culture:

Soft power rests on the ability to shape the preferences of others . . .
[It] is the ability to get what you want through attraction rather than coercion or payments. It arises from the attractiveness of a country’s culture, political ideals, and policies. When our policies are seen as legitimate in the eyes of others, our soft power is enhanced. America has long had a great deal of soft power . . . .

More broadly speaking, the components of soft power also are defined as including international trade, overseas investments, development assistance, diplomatic initiatives, cultural influence, humanitarian aid and disaster relief, education, and travel and tourism. Although American soft power remains formidable, by some of these measures it is seen to have declined in the 21 century. In absolute terms, some believe this perceived decline is the result of the United States’ own policies and actions. One former U.S. Government official speculates that although America has massive remaining reserves of soft power, they have become a ‘‘non-renewable resource’’ given current U.S. policies.6 Others point to multiple global survey results on international views of the United States, saying ‘‘the downward trend is unmistakable.’’  As Nye himself puts it:

Anti-Americanism has increased in recent years and the United States’
soft power . . . is in decline as a result . . . . A Eurobarometer poll found that a majority of Europeans believes that Washington has hindered efforts to fight global poverty, protect the environment, and maintain peace. Such attitudes undercut soft power, reducing the ability of the United States to achieve its goals . . . .

Others have attributed the perceived decline in American soft power as relative—largely a comparative decline based on the rise of other powers—in particular the rapid emergence of China as a U.S. ‘‘peer competitor’’ and a growing source of international influence, investment, and political and economic power. China is seen to be trying to project soft power by portraying its own system as an alternative model for economic development, one based on authoritarian governance and elite rule without the restrictions and demands that come with political liberalization.

Furthermore, according to this view, ‘‘soft power’’ is ephemeral; the United States has recovered from loss of prestige and influence before (such as occurred with the Vietnam War), and it will again. China’s apparent soft power gains, then, should not be blown out of proportion..."

 

mercredi 16 avril 2008

Repères 16/04/08 - Le Tibet et la géopolitique de la Chine

Repères 16/04/08 - Le Tibet et la géopolitique de la Chine

Chinese Geopolitics and the Significance of Tibet
By George Friedman, Stratfor 15/04/08

"China is an island. We do not mean it is surrounded by water; we mean China is surrounded by territory that is difficult to traverse. Therefore, China is hard to invade; given its size and population, it is even harder to occupy. This also makes it hard for the Chinese to invade others; not utterly impossible, but quite difficult. Containing a fifth of the world’s population, China can wall itself off from the world, as it did prior to the United Kingdom’s forced entry in the 19th century and under Mao Zedong. All of this means China is a great power, but one that has to behave very differently than other great powers..."

 

lundi 7 avril 2008

La phrase du jour 07/04/08 - "Respect des droits de l'Homme en Chine"

La phrase du jour 07/04/08 - "Respect des droits de l'Homme en Chine"

Le témoignage de Hu Jia sur l'atteinte aux libertés, diffusé sur le site de Reporters sans frontières :

Hu Jia, Reporters Sans Frontières, arrest
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gun-qTU-Wfc

"Prisoners in Freedom City"
Le documentaire réalisé par Hu Jia, première partie :
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l2zvJItBCN8

"Prisoners in Freedom City", deuxième partie :
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RhAx-dKlrHI

"Prisoners in Freedom City", troisième partie :
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UqZQc_lzcfY

"Prisoners in Freedom City", quatrième partie :
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8FA0IVVuKJY   

 

Chinese Activist Hu Jia Jailed for Subversion
RFA 03/04/08

"Authorities in Beijing have sentenced AIDS activist Hu Jia to 3-1/2 years' in jail for "incitement to subversion" after he wrote articles online critical of China's hosting of the Olympics, his lawyer and family said..."

 

lundi 31 mars 2008

Repères 31/03/08 - Guerre des monnaies ?

Repères 31/03/08 - Guerre des monnaies ?

China Flexes Its Muscles on Wall Street Part III: Currency Wars?
By Wenran Jiang, China Brief March 28, 2008

"The value of the Chinese yuan, or RMB, has been a sore spot in U.S.-China relations in recent years. Faced with a massive $256.3 billion trade deficit with China for 2007 that has increased over three times since 2000 ($83.8 billion) and continues to increase annually, Washington has called on Beijing to revalue its currency based on the presumption that it is set artificially low against the dollar—maybe by as much as 40 percent.

Washington has demanded that the Chinese government take bold and concrete steps in raising the RMB’s value; Congress even threatened sanctions on China if it did not comply. China, however, has so far weathered the pressure for any dramatic appreciation of the yuan, citing domestic concerns and arguing that adjustments in the exchange rate will not significantly alter its trade surplus with the United States, nor would it cure America’s economic ills. Meanwhile, Beijing has made slow but gradual upward appreciation of the yuan while spending hundred of billions in dollars buying the United States' growing debt. In January 2008, China spent $492.6 billion to purchase U.S. government treasury bonds making it the second-largest buyer of U.S. debt second only to Japan. With inflation in China reaching a record 8.7 percent in February 2008, the yuan's appreciation will likely continue in part to fight domestic inflation, while the ripple effect of the sub-prime mortgage crisis in the United States continues to reverberate throughout the U.S. economy. Coupled with a presidential election campaign, debate over China's currency policy will undoubtedly heat up in the coming months. Perhaps a look at what the Chinese are writing and reading will offer some insight into what Beijing is thinking..."

 

Lire également :


China Flexes Its Muscles on Wall Street Part I

China Flexes Its Muscles on Wall Street Redux Part II

 

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